石油化工
2024年年初以來(lái)，中東地緣局勢(shì)不穩(wěn)，導(dǎo)致國(guó)際油價(jià)總體震蕩走強(qiáng)。2024年3月，油價(jià)進(jìn)一步提振，國(guó)際油價(jià)顯著沖高。
中國(guó)石油集團(tuán)經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)研究院于2月28日在北京發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告稱，在基準(zhǔn)情形下，2024年國(guó)際油價(jià)將同比下降，維持中高位，全年布倫特原油均價(jià)為每桶75美元至80美元。
報(bào)告認(rèn)為，在需求方面，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)放緩、替代加速將使石油需求增長(zhǎng)承壓，預(yù)計(jì)2024年全球石油需求為每日1.027億桶，同比每日增加95萬(wàn)桶，增量較2023年減少55%。
在供給方面，歐佩克與非歐佩克伙伴國(guó)(OPEC+)將繼續(xù)管控產(chǎn)量，非OPEC+產(chǎn)油國(guó)則將繼續(xù)主導(dǎo)供給增量，預(yù)計(jì)加拿大、巴西、圭亞那等國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量均將有每日20萬(wàn)桶左右的增長(zhǎng)，美國(guó)每日增長(zhǎng)約40萬(wàn)桶。2024年全球石油供應(yīng)量預(yù)計(jì)每日約1.033億桶，全年石油市場(chǎng)將呈現(xiàn)小幅過(guò)剩態(tài)勢(shì)。
| 年份 | 平均價(jià) | 最高價(jià) | 最低價(jià) | 年幅度 |
| 2023 | $78.16 | $93.84 | $66.74 | 5.15% |
| 2022 | $94.53 | $123.70 | $71.59 | 7.05% |
| 2021 | $68.17 | $84.65 | $47.62 | 55.01% |
| 2020 | $39.68 | $63.27 | $37.63 | -20.64% |
| 2019 | $56.99 | $66.24 | $46.31 | 35.42% |
| 2018 | $64.90 | $76.41 | $42.53 | -24.84% |
| 2017 | $50.84 | $60.42 | $42.53 | 12.47% |
| 2016 | $43.58 | $54.06 | $26.21 | 45.03% |
| 2015 | $48.72 | $61.43 | $34.73 | -30.70% |
| 2014 | $93.17 | $107.95 | $53.45 | -45.55% |
| 2013 | $97.98 | $110.62 | $86.65 | 6.90% |
| 2012 | $94.05 | $109.39 | $77.72 | -7.08% |
| 2011 | $94.88 | $113.39 | $75.40 | 8.15% |
| 2010 | $79.48 | $91.48 | $64.78 | 15.10% |
| 2009 | $61.95 | $81.03 | $34.03 | 78.00% |
| 2008 | $99.67 | $145.31 | $30.28 | -53.52% |
| 2007 | $72.34 | $99.16 | $50.51 | 57.68% |
| 2006 | $66.05 | $77.05 | $55.90 | -0.34% |
| 2005 | $56.64 | $69.91 | $42.16 | 40.82% |
| 2004 | $41.51 | $56.37 | $32.49 | 33.37% |
| 2003 | $31.08 | $37.96 | $25.25 | 4.17% |
| 2002 | $26.19 | $32.68 | $18.02 | 56.36% |
| 2001 | $25.98 | $32.21 | $17.50 | -25.30% |
| 2000 | $30.38 | $37.22 | $23.91 | 3.73% |
| 1999 | $19.35 | $28.03 | $11.38 | 112.19% |
| 1998 | $14.42 | $17.93 | $10.82 | -31.22% |
| 1997 | $20.61 | $26.55 | $17.60 | -31.85% |
| 1996 | $22.12 | $26.55 | $17.33 | 32.55% |
| 1995 | $18.43 | $20.53 | $16.86 | 9.96% |
| 1994 | $17.20 | $20.72 | $13.89 | 25.23% |
| 1993 | $18.43 | $21.05 | $13.98 | -27.19% |
| 1992 | $20.58 | $23.03 | $17.89 | 1.78% |
| 1991 | $21.54 | $32.25 | $17.43 | -32.76% |
| 1990 | $24.53 | $41.07 | $15.43 | 30.40% |
| 1989 | $19.64 | $24.62 | $16.99 | 27.57% |
| 1988 | $15.97 | $18.54 | $12.58 | 2.27% |
| 1987 | $19.20 | $22.44 | $15.12 | -6.64% |
| 年份 | 平均價(jià) | 最高價(jià) | 最低價(jià) | 年幅度 |
| 2023 | $82.97 | $97.10 | $71.03 | 1.53% |
| 2022 | $100.93 | $133.18 | $76.02 | 7.22% |
| 2021 | $70.86 | $85.76 | $50.37 | 50.80% |
| 2020 | $41.96 | $70.25 | $9.12 | -24.42% |
| 2019 | $64.28 | $74.94 | $53.23 | 34.01% |
| 2018 | $71.34 | $86.07 | $50.57 | -24.22% |
| 2017 | $54.71 | $66.80 | $44.82 | 17.44% |
| 2016 | $45.13 | $56.82 | $27.88 | 52.41% |
| 2015 | $53.03 | $66.33 | $36.11 | -32.55% |
| 2014 | $98.97 | $115.19 | $55.27 | -49.73% |
| 2013 | $108.56 | $118.90 | $96.84 | -0.77% |
| 2012 | $111.57 | $128.14 | $88.69 | 2.51% |
| 2011 | $111.26 | $126.64 | $93.52 | 15.94% |
| 2010 | $79.61 | $93.63 | $67.18 | 19.66% |
| 2009 | $61.74 | $78.68 | $39.41 | 117.50% |
| 2008 | $96.94 | $143.95 | $33.73 | -61.76% |
| 2007 | $72.44 | $95.92 | $49.95 | 58.89% |
| 2006 | $65.16 | $78.26 | $55.82 | 1.06% |
| 2005 | $54.57 | $67.26 | $40.75 | 44.48% |
| 2004 | $38.26 | $52.28 | $29.02 | 33.27% |
| 2003 | $28.85 | $34.94 | $23.23 | 0.60% |
| 2002 | $24.99 | $32.02 | $18.17 | 55.66% |
| 2001 | $24.46 | $30.68 | $16.51 | -14.30% |
| 2000 | $28.66 | $37.43 | $21.05 | -9.43% |
| 1999 | $17.90 | $26.46 | $9.77 | 136.53% |
| 1998 | $12.76 | $16.28 | $9.10 | -33.54% |
| 1997 | $19.11 | $24.83 | $15.86 | -33.64% |
| 1996 | $20.64 | $25.40 | $16.23 | 28.15% |
| 1995 | $17.02 | $19.38 | $15.35 | 14.91% |
| 1994 | $15.86 | $19.03 | $13.00 | 23.14% |
| 1993 | $17.01 | $19.60 | $13.13 | -26.16% |
| 1992 | $19.32 | $21.55 | $17.05 | 0.56% |
| 1991 | $20.04 | $30.28 | $17.60 | -37.39% |
| 1990 | $23.76 | $41.45 | $14.68 | 34.68% |
| 1989 | $18.23 | $22.25 | $16.05 | 29.70% |
| 1988 | $14.91 | $17.95 | $11.20 | -7.78% |
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